Optimal Stabilization Policy When Wages and Prices are Sticky: The Case of a Distorted Steady State∗
نویسندگان
چکیده
Erceg et al. (2000) show that when both wages and prices are sticky, maximization of expected utility is equivalent to minimizing a loss function with three terms, involving measures of the variability of wage inflation, price inflation and the output gap respectively. Here we generalize their analysis, most importantly by not assuming the existence of output and employment subsidies that eliminate the distortions resulting from market power in goods and labor markets, so that the equilibrium level of output under flexible wages and prices would not necessarily be optimal. We show that a quadratic loss function can still be justified that involves the same three terms, albeit with different relative weights and a different definition of the output gap. Many conclusions of Erceg et al. are thus found to apply more generally. However, we argue that in the presence of significant steady-state distortions, simple rules of the kind that they examine are likely to approximate optimal policy less closely than is suggested by their numerical results. ∗We would like to thank Bob King and Andy Levin for helpful comments, and the National Science Foundation for research support through a grant to the NBER. In a seminal paper, Chris Erceg, Dale Henderson, and Andy Levin (2000) analyzed the consequences for optimal monetary policy of the stickiness of both wages and prices. A key contribution of their paper was the demonstration that the expected utility of the representative household in their model could be approximated by an objective with three terms, involving measures of the variability of wage inflation, price inflation and the output gap respectively. While wage-inflation stabilization has not commonly been included among the assumed objectives of monetary policy in studies that lack welfare-theoretic foundations, Erceg et al. showed that in the context of their model (with Calvo-style staggering of both wageand price-setting decisions), such an objective is appropriate in the case that wages as well as prices are sticky. This is because variability of the rate of growth of nominal wages implies misalignment of wages that are adjusted at different times, and hence inefficient utilization of different types of labor. They showed furthermore that the existence of this additional stabilization objective implies that a policy aimed solely at inflation stabilization (a strict inflation target) is not generally optimal, and may be quite undesirable. Instead, their numerical analysis suggests that one can do quite well by targeting an appropriately chosen weighted average of wage and price inflation, with a greater relative weight on wage inflation the greater the relative stickiness of wages. Here we reexamine the issues raised by Erceg et al. in a slightly more general setting. Following Rotemberg and Woodford (1997), Erceg et al. assume the existence of an output subsidy in order to eliminate the distortion resulting from the market power of the suppliers of differentiated goods, and a similar employment sub-
منابع مشابه
Optimal time-consistent monetary and fiscal policy under sticky prices
This paper studies optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a stochastic economy with sticky prices and monopolistic competition on its product markets. Our main objective is to characterize optimal time-consistent (Markov) policies and to compare their characteristics to the ones implemented by a Ramsey policy maker. We perform this comparison within the framework of a stochastic production econo...
متن کاملOptimal Monetary Policy and Firm Entry
This paper characterises optimal monetary policy in an economy with endogenous rm entry, a cash-in-advance constraint and preset wages. Firms must make pro ts to cover entry costs; thus the markup on goods prices is e¢cient. However, because leisure is not priced at a markup, the consumption-leisure tradeo¤ is distorted. Consequently, the real wage, hours and production are suboptimally low. D...
متن کاملInflation Risk and Optimal Monetary Policy
This paper shows that the optimal monetary policies recommended by New Keynesian models still imply a large amount of inflation risk. We calculate the term structure of inflation uncertainty in New Keynesian models when the monetary authority adopts the optimal policy. When the monetary policy rules are modified to include some weight on a price path, the economy achieves equilibria with substa...
متن کاملRamsey Policies in a Small Open Economy with Sticky Prices and Capital∗
In this paper we study jointly optimal fiscal and monetary policies in a small open economy framework with capital and sticky prices. We consider the case of distortionary taxes on labor and capital, and no public debt. As in a closed economy set–up, in the steady state, the optimal inflation rate is zero, as well as the optimal tax on capital. The dynamic properties of optimal monetary and fis...
متن کاملOn the relevance of exchange rate regimes for stabilization policy
On the Relevance of Exchange Rate Regimes for Stabilization Policy This paper assesses the relevance of the exchange rate regime for stabilization policy. This regime question cannot be dealt with independently of other institutions, in particular how fiscal policy is designed. We show that once fiscal policy is taken into account, the exchange rate regime is irrelevant. This is the case indepe...
متن کامل